04 October 2006

The only poll you need to know

Kenneth Massey provides rankings for the BCS based on a computer model. He also provides something much more useful: a ranking comparison based on over 50 different rankings that provides a meta-ranking analysis based on the consensus value of their ranked positions.

He notes,
The ranking comparison gladly accepts any ranking that results from:

* A human poll conducted by a major publication or group (e.g. the AP)
* An advanced computer rating.
* A mathematically based sequential rating (e.g. Elo's update formula)
* Publicly well-known systems (e.g. the RPI)
(FYI --
The plain text version sorts the teams by consensus ranking vertically, and sorts the ranking systems by correlation horizontally. Team names are listed at regular intervals so that they will always be visible. The high (red) and low (blue) rankings for each team are highlighted.)
The comparison is updated every week after the new rankings come out, and while it's fun to argue about single polls (like the AP or Sagarin), this type of meta-analysis and the development of a consensus across more than 50 different polls is enlightening.

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