Intimidating venues, take 2

I was wrong. It turns out, 3 points per home field advantage is a mistaken number. It's actually a 58% win advantage, which is much more convincing. Of course, these numbers are for the NFL from 2001-2003, but still, that's pretty good.

And, I am vindicated in my belief that going for it on 4th and short at anything other than your own 35 or less is the right decision — AND YOU SHOULD RUN. This is really a very large concern of mine,* because unless your punter has the precision of one of those midwestern guys, or your O-line and backs are pathetic, it's just not worth it to punt.

*Of course, I'm not a coach, nor am I a player, nor have I ever played football. I just watch a fucking lot of it.